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What is Lionsgate Studios Corp. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s reported free cash flow gives -$4.84 per share. The share price was $14.26 on November 10, 2026, 394% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$11.4M
Cash
$358.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.86B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
285,400,000
Revenue growth per year, last 3 years
-5.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%-$4.99-135%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%-$4.84-134%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%-$4.57-132%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$4.74-$4.72-$4.68-$4.64-$4.58
8.0%-$4.82-$4.80-$4.78-$4.75-$4.72
9.0%-$4.87-$4.86-$4.84-$4.83-$4.81
10.0%-$4.91-$4.90-$4.89-$4.88-$4.87
11.0%-$4.94-$4.94-$4.93-$4.92-$4.91

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (-5.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Lionsgate Studios Corp. company page