What is Liberty Energy Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Liberty Energy Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$4.27 per share. The share price was $12.69 on November 10, 2026, 397% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$5.37 | -142% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | -$4.27 | -134% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | -$2.21 | -117% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$3.43 | -$3.17 | -$2.85 | -$2.45 | -$1.94 |
| 8.0% | -$4.06 | -$3.89 | -$3.69 | -$3.45 | -$3.16 |
| 9.0% | -$4.52 | -$4.40 | -$4.27 | -$4.11 | -$3.93 |
| 10.0% | -$4.86 | -$4.78 | -$4.69 | -$4.58 | -$4.46 |
| 11.0% | -$5.13 | -$5.07 | -$5.01 | -$4.93 | -$4.84 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Liberty Energy Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (32.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions