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Stocks LAZ DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Lazard, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Lazard, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $75.61 per share. The share price was $41.05 on November 10, 2026, 46% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$487.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$586.4M
Cash
$1.26B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.69B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
106,338,079
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
3.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-1.0%0.5%2.0%10.0%$45.25+10%
Base4.0%3.5%2.5%9.0%$75.61+84%
Bull9.0%6.0%3.0%8.0%$132.30+222%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$97.19$103.74$111.75$121.76$134.62
8.0%$81.12$85.37$90.39$96.41$103.77
9.0%$69.36$72.26$75.61$79.52$84.14
10.0%$60.38$62.45$64.79$67.47$70.55
11.0%$53.32$54.83$56.53$58.43$60.59

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Lazard, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Lazard, Inc. company page