What is Kite Realty Group Trust worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Kite Realty Group Trust's reported free cash flow gives $29.64 per share. The share price was $24.78 on September 25, 2026, 16% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $13.17 | -47% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $29.64 | +20% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $60.33 | +143% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $42.12 | $46.01 | $50.77 | $56.71 | $64.35 |
| 8.0% | $32.75 | $35.27 | $38.25 | $41.83 | $46.20 |
| 9.0% | $25.93 | $27.65 | $29.64 | $31.97 | $34.71 |
| 10.0% | $20.76 | $21.99 | $23.38 | $24.96 | $26.80 |
| 11.0% | $16.71 | $17.61 | $18.62 | $19.75 | $21.03 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Kite Realty Group Trust's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (25.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions