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Stocks KMPR DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is KEMPER Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on KEMPER Corp's reported free cash flow gives $96.25 per share. The share price was $25.32 on September 25, 2026, 74% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$553.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$149.5M
Cash
$81.2M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$944.5M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
62,606,200
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-1.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-6.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$56.26+122%
Base-1.5%0.5%2.5%9.0%$96.25+280%
Bull3.5%3.5%3.0%8.0%$175.83+594%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$124.19$132.51$142.67$155.38$171.72
8.0%$103.50$108.89$115.27$122.92$132.27
9.0%$88.30$91.99$96.25$101.21$107.08
10.0%$76.66$79.29$82.26$85.66$89.58
11.0%$67.46$69.38$71.53$73.95$76.69

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at KEMPER Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-1.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

KEMPER Corp company page