What is Kadant Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Kadant Inc's reported free cash flow gives $298.57 per share. The share price was $273.89 on September 25, 2026, 8% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $173.43 | -37% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $298.57 | +9% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $548.01 | +100% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $393.24 | $422.44 | $458.13 | $502.75 | $560.10 |
| 8.0% | $322.37 | $341.30 | $363.68 | $390.54 | $423.36 |
| 9.0% | $270.69 | $283.63 | $298.57 | $316.00 | $336.60 |
| 10.0% | $231.40 | $240.61 | $251.04 | $262.97 | $276.73 |
| 11.0% | $200.59 | $207.34 | $214.88 | $223.37 | $232.99 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Kadant Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions