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Stocks JKHY DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Jack Henry & Associates Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Jack Henry & Associates Inc's reported free cash flow gives $203.44 per share. The share price was $175.19 on November 10, 2026, 14% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$694.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$521.1M
Cash
$25.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$85M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
72,043,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
7.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear2.5%2.5%2.0%10.0%$126.62-28%
Base7.5%5.0%2.5%9.0%$203.44+16%
Bull12.5%8.0%3.0%8.0%$356.59+104%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$260.53$278.01$299.37$326.07$360.40
8.0%$217.89$229.22$242.62$258.69$278.34
9.0%$186.75$194.50$203.44$213.87$226.20
10.0%$163.04$168.55$174.79$181.93$190.17
11.0%$144.41$148.45$152.96$158.04$163.80

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Jack Henry & Associates Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Jack Henry & Associates Inc company page