What is J&J Snack Foods Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on J&J Snack Foods Corp's reported free cash flow gives $99.91 per share. The share price was $77.51 on September 25, 2026, 22% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | $61.91 | -20% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $99.91 | +29% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $170.81 | +120% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $127.76 | $136.33 | $146.80 | $159.89 | $176.72 |
| 8.0% | $106.93 | $112.48 | $119.05 | $126.93 | $136.56 |
| 9.0% | $91.73 | $95.53 | $99.91 | $105.02 | $111.07 |
| 10.0% | $80.16 | $82.87 | $85.93 | $89.43 | $93.47 |
| 11.0% | $71.09 | $73.07 | $75.28 | $77.77 | $80.60 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at J&J Snack Foods Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions