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DCF valuation

What is Ingersoll Rand Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ingersoll Rand Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $86.43 per share. The share price was $85.97 on November 10, 2026, 1% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.22B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$1.01B
Cash
$1.34B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$4.74B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
401,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
14.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear9.0%5.5%2.0%10.0%$49.26-43%
Base14.0%8.5%2.5%9.0%$86.43+1%
Bull19.0%11.0%3.0%8.0%$155.67+81%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$114.43$123.14$133.79$147.10$164.21
8.0%$93.41$99.06$105.74$113.75$123.54
9.0%$78.11$81.97$86.43$91.63$97.78
10.0%$66.50$69.25$72.36$75.92$80.03
11.0%$57.42$59.43$61.68$64.22$67.08

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ingersoll Rand Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Ingersoll Rand Inc. company page