What is Intrepid Potash, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $46.48 per share. The share price was $34.04 on September 25, 2026, 27% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $34.44 | +1% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $46.48 | +37% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $70.48 | +107% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $55.20 | $57.84 | $61.06 | $65.10 | $70.28 |
| 8.0% | $48.71 | $50.42 | $52.44 | $54.87 | $57.84 |
| 9.0% | $43.96 | $45.13 | $46.48 | $48.05 | $49.92 |
| 10.0% | $40.33 | $41.16 | $42.11 | $43.18 | $44.43 |
| 11.0% | $37.47 | $38.08 | $38.76 | $39.53 | $40.40 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (3.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions