What is Inspired Entertainment, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $3.14 per share. The share price was $4.26 on November 10, 2026, 36% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | -$1.93 | -145% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $3.14 | -26% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $12.59 | +196% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $6.85 | $7.99 | $9.39 | $11.13 | $13.38 |
| 8.0% | $4.07 | $4.81 | $5.69 | $6.74 | $8.02 |
| 9.0% | $2.05 | $2.55 | $3.14 | $3.82 | $4.62 |
| 10.0% | $0.51 | $0.87 | $1.27 | $1.74 | $2.28 |
| 11.0% | -$0.70 | -$0.44 | -$0.15 | $0.19 | $0.56 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions