What is Inspired Entertainment, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2.89 per share. The share price was $4.57 on September 25, 2026, 58% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | -$2.18 | -148% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $2.89 | -37% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $12.34 | +170% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $6.60 | $7.74 | $9.14 | $10.88 | $13.13 |
| 8.0% | $3.82 | $4.56 | $5.44 | $6.49 | $7.77 |
| 9.0% | $1.80 | $2.30 | $2.89 | $3.57 | $4.37 |
| 10.0% | $0.25 | $0.61 | $1.02 | $1.49 | $2.03 |
| 11.0% | -$0.96 | -$0.69 | -$0.40 | -$0.06 | $0.31 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions