What is Hyster-Yale, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $3.07 per share. The share price was $27.98 on November 10, 2026, 813% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.0% | 10.0% | -$6.96 | -125% |
| Base | 6.0% | 9.0% | $3.07 | -89% |
| Bull | 11.0% | 8.0% | $21.78 | -22% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $10.28 | $12.49 | $15.18 | $18.54 | $22.87 |
| 8.0% | $4.90 | $6.33 | $8.01 | $10.04 | $12.52 |
| 9.0% | $0.96 | $1.94 | $3.07 | $4.38 | $5.93 |
| 10.0% | -$2.04 | -$1.34 | -$0.55 | $0.34 | $1.38 |
| 11.0% | -$4.39 | -$3.89 | -$3.32 | -$2.68 | -$1.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions