What is Hexcel Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Hexcel Corp's reported free cash flow gives $24.16 per share. The share price was $81.72 on November 10, 2026, 238% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $10.86 | -87% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $24.16 | -70% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $50.06 | -39% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $33.64 | $36.51 | $40.03 | $44.42 | $50.07 |
| 8.0% | $26.58 | $28.44 | $30.65 | $33.29 | $36.53 |
| 9.0% | $21.42 | $22.69 | $24.16 | $25.88 | $27.91 |
| 10.0% | $17.48 | $18.38 | $19.41 | $20.59 | $21.94 |
| 11.0% | $14.38 | $15.04 | $15.79 | $16.62 | $17.57 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Hexcel Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions