What is Hexcel Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Hexcel Corp's reported free cash flow gives $23.66 per share. The share price was $85.80 on September 25, 2026, 263% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $10.36 | -88% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $23.66 | -72% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $49.56 | -42% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $33.14 | $36.01 | $39.53 | $43.92 | $49.57 |
| 8.0% | $26.08 | $27.94 | $30.15 | $32.79 | $36.03 |
| 9.0% | $20.92 | $22.19 | $23.66 | $25.38 | $27.41 |
| 10.0% | $16.98 | $17.88 | $18.91 | $20.09 | $21.44 |
| 11.0% | $13.88 | $14.54 | $15.28 | $16.12 | $17.07 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Hexcel Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions