What is Henry Schein Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Henry Schein Inc's reported free cash flow gives $69.41 per share. The share price was $88.74 on November 10, 2026, 28% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $36.28 | -59% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $69.41 | -22% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $135.46 | +53% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $93.72 | $101.13 | $110.17 | $121.49 | $136.03 |
| 8.0% | $75.59 | $80.39 | $86.07 | $92.88 | $101.20 |
| 9.0% | $62.34 | $65.62 | $69.41 | $73.83 | $79.05 |
| 10.0% | $52.23 | $54.57 | $57.21 | $60.24 | $63.73 |
| 11.0% | $44.28 | $46.00 | $47.91 | $50.06 | $52.50 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Henry Schein Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions