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DCF valuation

What is Honeywell International Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Honeywell International Inc's reported free cash flow gives $102.70 per share. The share price was $212.55 on September 25, 2026, 107% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$5.42B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$4.98B
Cash
$8.75B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$31.51B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
642,800,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
2.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-2.0%-0.0%2.0%10.0%$50.24-76%
Base3.0%3.0%2.5%9.0%$102.70-52%
Bull8.0%5.5%3.0%8.0%$200.66-6%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$139.75$150.96$164.67$181.79$203.82
8.0%$112.18$119.45$128.04$138.35$150.96
9.0%$92.00$96.97$102.70$109.39$117.30
10.0%$76.59$80.12$84.13$88.71$93.99
11.0%$64.45$67.04$69.94$73.19$76.89

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Honeywell International Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Honeywell International Inc company page