What is Holley Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Holley Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $1.15 per share. The share price was $2.52 on November 10, 2026, 119% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.0% | 10.0% | -$0.72 | -129% |
| Base | 4.0% | 9.0% | $1.15 | -54% |
| Bull | 9.0% | 8.0% | $4.64 | +85% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $2.48 | $2.88 | $3.37 | $3.99 | $4.78 |
| 8.0% | $1.49 | $1.75 | $2.06 | $2.43 | $2.88 |
| 9.0% | $0.76 | $0.94 | $1.15 | $1.39 | $1.67 |
| 10.0% | $0.21 | $0.34 | $0.48 | $0.65 | $0.84 |
| 11.0% | -$0.23 | -$0.13 | -$0.03 | $0.09 | $0.22 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Holley Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions