What is Holley Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Holley Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $1.09 per share. The share price was $2.47 on September 25, 2026, 126% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.0% | 10.0% | -$0.78 | -132% |
| Base | 4.0% | 9.0% | $1.09 | -56% |
| Bull | 9.0% | 8.0% | $4.58 | +86% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $2.42 | $2.83 | $3.32 | $3.94 | $4.73 |
| 8.0% | $1.43 | $1.69 | $2.00 | $2.37 | $2.83 |
| 9.0% | $0.71 | $0.89 | $1.09 | $1.33 | $1.62 |
| 10.0% | $0.15 | $0.28 | $0.43 | $0.59 | $0.78 |
| 11.0% | -$0.28 | -$0.19 | -$0.08 | $0.03 | $0.17 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Holley Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions