What is Garrett Motion Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Garrett Motion Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $21.76 per share. The share price was $25.72 on September 25, 2026, 18% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $11.36 | -56% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $21.76 | -15% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $42.49 | +65% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $29.29 | $31.57 | $34.36 | $37.84 | $42.32 |
| 8.0% | $23.68 | $25.16 | $26.91 | $29.01 | $31.57 |
| 9.0% | $19.58 | $20.59 | $21.76 | $23.12 | $24.73 |
| 10.0% | $16.45 | $17.17 | $17.98 | $18.91 | $19.99 |
| 11.0% | $13.98 | $14.50 | $15.09 | $15.76 | $16.51 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Garrett Motion Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions