What is Gates Industrial Corp Ltd. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Gates Industrial Corp Ltd.'s reported free cash flow gives $22.17 per share. The share price was $26.86 on September 25, 2026, 21% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $11.65 | -57% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $22.17 | -17% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $42.66 | +59% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $29.67 | $31.94 | $34.72 | $38.20 | $42.66 |
| 8.0% | $24.08 | $25.56 | $27.30 | $29.39 | $31.95 |
| 9.0% | $20.00 | $21.01 | $22.17 | $23.53 | $25.13 |
| 10.0% | $16.88 | $17.60 | $18.41 | $19.34 | $20.42 |
| 11.0% | $14.43 | $14.96 | $15.55 | $16.21 | $16.96 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Gates Industrial Corp Ltd.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions