What is Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Greenland Technologies Holding Corp.'s reported free cash flow gives $19.21 per share. The share price was $1.09 on September 25, 2026, 94% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.5% | 10.0% | $12.22 | +1,021% |
| Base | 6.5% | 9.0% | $19.21 | +1,663% |
| Bull | 11.5% | 8.0% | $33.16 | +2,942% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $24.38 | $25.96 | $27.89 | $30.30 | $33.39 |
| 8.0% | $20.52 | $21.55 | $22.76 | $24.21 | $25.98 |
| 9.0% | $17.71 | $18.41 | $19.21 | $20.15 | $21.27 |
| 10.0% | $15.56 | $16.06 | $16.62 | $17.27 | $18.01 |
| 11.0% | $13.87 | $14.24 | $14.64 | $15.10 | $15.62 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Greenland Technologies Holding Corp.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions