What is Grindr Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Grindr Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $22.13 per share. The share price was $13.47 on November 10, 2026, 39% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $12.78 | -5% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $22.13 | +64% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $39.54 | +194% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $29.21 | $31.41 | $34.11 | $37.49 | $41.82 |
| 8.0% | $23.89 | $25.32 | $27.01 | $29.04 | $31.52 |
| 9.0% | $20.02 | $21.00 | $22.13 | $23.45 | $25.00 |
| 10.0% | $17.09 | $17.78 | $18.57 | $19.47 | $20.51 |
| 11.0% | $14.79 | $15.30 | $15.87 | $16.51 | $17.24 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Grindr Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (31.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions