What is Global Payments Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Global Payments Inc's reported free cash flow gives $47.31 per share. The share price was $86.49 on September 25, 2026, 83% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $3.04 | -96% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $47.31 | -45% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $133.51 | +54% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $78.00 | $87.21 | $98.45 | $112.51 | $130.59 |
| 8.0% | $55.23 | $61.19 | $68.25 | $76.71 | $87.05 |
| 9.0% | $38.52 | $42.60 | $47.31 | $52.80 | $59.29 |
| 10.0% | $25.74 | $28.65 | $31.93 | $35.69 | $40.03 |
| 11.0% | $15.65 | $17.78 | $20.16 | $22.83 | $25.86 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Global Payments Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions