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DCF valuation

What is Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $13.11 per share. The share price was $14.06 on November 10, 2026, 7% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$25.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$23.2M
Cash
$304.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
86,892,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
29.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$9.34-34%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$13.11-7%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$20.13+43%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$15.96$16.85$17.94$19.30$21.05
8.0%$13.82$14.40$15.08$15.90$16.90
9.0%$12.26$12.65$13.11$13.64$14.27
10.0%$11.08$11.36$11.67$12.04$12.46
11.0%$10.15$10.36$10.59$10.84$11.14

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (29.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. company page