What is GigaCloud Technology Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on GigaCloud Technology Inc's reported free cash flow gives $167.74 per share. The share price was $59.33 on November 9, 2026, 65% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $105.76 | +78% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $167.74 | +183% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $283.16 | +377% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $214.67 | $229.30 | $247.19 | $269.54 | $298.29 |
| 8.0% | $179.42 | $188.91 | $200.12 | $213.58 | $230.03 |
| 9.0% | $153.77 | $160.26 | $167.74 | $176.48 | $186.80 |
| 10.0% | $134.32 | $138.94 | $144.16 | $150.14 | $157.04 |
| 11.0% | $119.10 | $122.49 | $126.27 | $130.52 | $135.34 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at GigaCloud Technology Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (36.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions