What is Genesco Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Genesco Inc's reported free cash flow gives $161.23 per share. The share price was $34.54 on September 25, 2026, 79% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.5% | 10.0% | $102.24 | +196% |
| Base | 6.5% | 9.0% | $161.23 | +367% |
| Bull | 11.5% | 8.0% | $278.85 | +707% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $204.81 | $218.11 | $234.37 | $254.70 | $280.83 |
| 8.0% | $172.29 | $180.92 | $191.11 | $203.35 | $218.30 |
| 9.0% | $148.53 | $154.42 | $161.23 | $169.17 | $178.56 |
| 10.0% | $130.42 | $134.62 | $139.37 | $144.81 | $151.07 |
| 11.0% | $116.19 | $119.26 | $122.70 | $126.57 | $130.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Genesco Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions