What is Frontdoor, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Frontdoor, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $103.71 per share. The share price was $73.99 on September 25, 2026, 29% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.5% | 10.0% | $62.02 | -16% |
| Base | 7.5% | 9.0% | $103.71 | +40% |
| Bull | 12.5% | 8.0% | $186.84 | +153% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $134.70 | $144.19 | $155.78 | $170.27 | $188.90 |
| 8.0% | $111.56 | $117.71 | $124.98 | $133.70 | $144.36 |
| 9.0% | $94.65 | $98.86 | $103.71 | $109.37 | $116.07 |
| 10.0% | $81.78 | $84.78 | $88.17 | $92.04 | $96.51 |
| 11.0% | $71.67 | $73.86 | $76.32 | $79.07 | $82.20 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Frontdoor, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions