What is Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $20.25 per share. The share price was $51.44 on November 10, 2026, 154% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.0% | 10.0% | $13.03 | -75% |
| Base | 14.0% | 9.0% | $20.25 | -61% |
| Bull | 19.0% | 8.0% | $33.70 | -34% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $25.69 | $27.38 | $29.45 | $32.03 | $35.35 |
| 8.0% | $21.60 | $22.70 | $24.00 | $25.55 | $27.46 |
| 9.0% | $18.63 | $19.38 | $20.25 | $21.26 | $22.45 |
| 10.0% | $16.38 | $16.91 | $17.52 | $18.21 | $19.00 |
| 11.0% | $14.61 | $15.00 | $15.44 | $15.93 | $16.49 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions