What is Flowco Holdings Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Flowco Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $58.39 per share. The share price was $20.61 on November 10, 2026, 65% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $34.50 | +67% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $58.39 | +183% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $102.88 | +399% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $76.48 | $82.12 | $89.01 | $97.63 | $108.71 |
| 8.0% | $62.89 | $66.55 | $70.87 | $76.06 | $82.40 |
| 9.0% | $53.01 | $55.51 | $58.39 | $61.76 | $65.74 |
| 10.0% | $45.51 | $47.29 | $49.30 | $51.61 | $54.27 |
| 11.0% | $39.65 | $40.95 | $42.41 | $44.05 | $45.90 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Flowco Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (76.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions