What is Flowco Holdings Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Flowco Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $57.80 per share. The share price was $19.14 on September 25, 2026, 67% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $33.91 | +77% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $57.80 | +202% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $102.29 | +434% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $75.89 | $81.53 | $88.42 | $97.04 | $108.12 |
| 8.0% | $62.30 | $65.96 | $70.28 | $75.47 | $81.81 |
| 9.0% | $52.42 | $54.92 | $57.80 | $61.17 | $65.15 |
| 10.0% | $44.92 | $46.70 | $48.71 | $51.02 | $53.67 |
| 11.0% | $39.05 | $40.36 | $41.82 | $43.45 | $45.31 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Flowco Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (76.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions