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DCF valuation

What is First Horizon Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on First Horizon Corp's reported free cash flow gives $29.33 per share. The share price was $23.46 on September 25, 2026, 20% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$595M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$1.21B
Cash
$1.63B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
511,107,000
Revenue growth per year, last 7 years
8.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear3.5%3.0%2.0%10.0%$19.47-17%
Base8.5%5.5%2.5%9.0%$29.33+25%
Bull13.5%8.5%3.0%8.0%$48.98+109%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$36.70$38.96$41.73$45.19$49.63
8.0%$31.19$32.66$34.39$36.47$39.02
9.0%$27.17$28.17$29.33$30.68$32.28
10.0%$24.11$24.82$25.63$26.55$27.62
11.0%$21.70$22.23$22.81$23.47$24.21

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at First Horizon Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 7 fiscal years (8.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

First Horizon Corp company page