What is First Advantage Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on First Advantage Corp's reported free cash flow gives $25.85 per share. The share price was $21.58 on November 10, 2026, 17% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $11.74 | -46% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $25.85 | +20% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $52.13 | +142% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $36.54 | $39.87 | $43.94 | $49.03 | $55.57 |
| 8.0% | $28.51 | $30.67 | $33.22 | $36.29 | $40.03 |
| 9.0% | $22.67 | $24.15 | $25.85 | $27.84 | $30.19 |
| 10.0% | $18.24 | $19.30 | $20.49 | $21.85 | $23.42 |
| 11.0% | $14.78 | $15.55 | $16.41 | $17.38 | $18.48 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at First Advantage Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 6 fiscal years (21.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions