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DCF valuation

What is Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $12.80 per share. The share price was $57.68 on September 25, 2026, 351% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$10.2M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$3.6M
Cash
$26.8M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$19.1M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
26,907,725
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
359.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$7.89-86%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$12.80-78%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$21.94-62%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$16.52$17.68$19.10$20.87$23.14
8.0%$13.73$14.48$15.37$16.43$17.74
9.0%$11.69$12.21$12.80$13.49$14.31
10.0%$10.15$10.52$10.93$11.41$11.95
11.0%$8.95$9.22$9.52$9.85$10.23

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (359.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. company page