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What is Eaton Corp plc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Eaton Corp plc's reported free cash flow gives $165.80 per share. The share price was $354.22 on November 10, 2026, 114% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$3.55B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$2.69B
Cash
$528M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$18.51B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
391,200,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
9.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear4.0%3.0%2.0%10.0%$83.78-76%
Base9.0%6.0%2.5%9.0%$165.80-53%
Bull14.0%8.5%3.0%8.0%$318.83-10%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$225.93$244.42$267.03$295.28$331.61
8.0%$180.95$192.95$207.12$224.13$244.92
9.0%$148.14$156.34$165.80$176.84$189.89
10.0%$123.19$129.02$135.63$143.18$151.90
11.0%$103.60$107.87$112.65$118.03$124.12

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Eaton Corp plc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Eaton Corp plc company page