What is Emerson Electric Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Emerson Electric Co's reported free cash flow gives $60.51 per share. The share price was $158.23 on September 25, 2026, 161% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -3.5% | 10.0% | $34.15 | -78% |
| Base | 1.5% | 9.0% | $60.51 | -62% |
| Bull | 6.5% | 8.0% | $111.84 | -29% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $78.91 | $84.45 | $91.22 | $99.67 | $110.55 |
| 8.0% | $65.24 | $68.83 | $73.08 | $78.17 | $84.39 |
| 9.0% | $55.22 | $57.68 | $60.51 | $63.81 | $67.72 |
| 10.0% | $47.56 | $49.31 | $51.29 | $53.55 | $56.16 |
| 11.0% | $41.52 | $42.80 | $44.23 | $45.84 | $47.66 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Emerson Electric Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (1.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions