What is Emerson Electric Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Emerson Electric Co's reported free cash flow gives $126.81 per share. The share price was $167.54 on November 10, 2026, 32% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.0% | 10.0% | $73.39 | -56% |
| Base | 8.0% | 9.0% | $126.81 | -24% |
| Bull | 13.0% | 8.0% | $226.50 | +35% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $165.74 | $177.69 | $192.29 | $210.54 | $234.00 |
| 8.0% | $136.64 | $144.39 | $153.54 | $164.53 | $177.96 |
| 9.0% | $115.40 | $120.70 | $126.81 | $133.94 | $142.36 |
| 10.0% | $99.24 | $103.00 | $107.27 | $112.15 | $117.78 |
| 11.0% | $86.54 | $89.30 | $92.39 | $95.86 | $99.79 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Emerson Electric Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions