What is Ennis, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ennis, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $26.74 per share. The share price was $21.12 on November 10, 2026, 21% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -3.0% | 10.0% | $17.42 | -18% |
| Base | 2.0% | 9.0% | $26.74 | +27% |
| Bull | 7.0% | 8.0% | $44.15 | +109% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $33.28 | $35.26 | $37.67 | $40.68 | $44.56 |
| 8.0% | $28.42 | $29.70 | $31.21 | $33.03 | $35.24 |
| 9.0% | $24.86 | $25.73 | $26.74 | $27.92 | $29.31 |
| 10.0% | $22.14 | $22.76 | $23.47 | $24.27 | $25.20 |
| 11.0% | $19.99 | $20.45 | $20.96 | $21.53 | $22.18 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ennis, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (1.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions