What is Driven Brands Holdings Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Driven Brands Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $12.73 per share. The share price was $12.31 on September 25, 2026, 3% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $4.20 | -66% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $12.73 | +3% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $28.61 | +132% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $19.18 | $21.20 | $23.66 | $26.73 | $30.69 |
| 8.0% | $14.33 | $15.64 | $17.18 | $19.03 | $21.30 |
| 9.0% | $10.81 | $11.70 | $12.73 | $13.93 | $15.35 |
| 10.0% | $8.13 | $8.77 | $9.48 | $10.31 | $11.26 |
| 11.0% | $6.04 | $6.50 | $7.02 | $7.61 | $8.27 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Driven Brands Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (19.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions