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DCF valuation

What is Leonardo DRS, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $17.96 per share. The share price was $36.96 on November 10, 2026, 106% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$227M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$128.8M
Cash
$294M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$175M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
268,700,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
7.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear2.0%2.0%2.0%10.0%$11.21-70%
Base7.0%5.0%2.5%9.0%$17.96-51%
Bull12.0%7.5%3.0%8.0%$30.55-17%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$22.85$24.34$26.17$28.46$31.39
8.0%$19.20$20.17$21.31$22.69$24.37
9.0%$16.53$17.19$17.96$18.85$19.91
10.0%$14.50$14.97$15.51$16.12$16.82
11.0%$12.91$13.25$13.64$14.07$14.57

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (7.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Leonardo DRS, Inc. company page