Invesaro

Stocks DOLE DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Dole plc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Dole plc's reported free cash flow gives -$6.89 per share. The share price was $12.98 on September 25, 2026, 288% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$102.7M
Cash
$291.7M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$1.01B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
95,902,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
20.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%-$7.12-155%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%-$6.89-153%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%-$6.46-150%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$6.71-$6.66-$6.59-$6.51-$6.40
8.0%-$6.84-$6.81-$6.77-$6.72-$6.65
9.0%-$6.94-$6.91-$6.89-$6.85-$6.82
10.0%-$7.01-$6.99-$6.97-$6.95-$6.93
11.0%-$7.07-$7.06-$7.04-$7.03-$7.01

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Dole plc's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (20.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Dole plc company page