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DCF valuation

What is Healthpeak Properties, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Healthpeak Properties, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $1.65 per share. The share price was $20.31 on September 25, 2026, 1,133% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$357M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$169.2M
Cash
$1.63B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$10.03B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
696,044,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
11.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear6.5%4.5%2.0%10.0%-$3.57-118%
Base11.5%7.0%2.5%9.0%$1.65-92%
Bull16.5%10.0%3.0%8.0%$12.04-41%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$5.61$6.84$8.34$10.21$12.62
8.0%$2.64$3.44$4.38$5.50$6.88
9.0%$0.48$1.02$1.65$2.38$3.24
10.0%-$1.17-$0.78-$0.34$0.16$0.73
11.0%-$2.46-$2.18-$1.86-$1.50-$1.10

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Healthpeak Properties, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. company page