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DCF valuation

What is Healthpeak Properties, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Healthpeak Properties, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $0.98 per share. The share price was $20.49 on November 10, 2026, 1,986% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$357M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$169.2M
Cash
$514.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$9.38B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
696,044,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
11.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear6.5%4.5%2.0%10.0%-$4.23-121%
Base11.5%7.0%2.5%9.0%$0.98-95%
Bull16.5%10.0%3.0%8.0%$11.37-44%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$4.95$6.17$7.67$9.55$11.95
8.0%$1.98$2.77$3.71$4.84$6.22
9.0%-$0.19$0.35$0.98$1.71$2.58
10.0%-$1.83-$1.45-$1.01-$0.51$0.07
11.0%-$3.12-$2.84-$2.52-$2.17-$1.76

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Healthpeak Properties, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. company page