What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s reported free cash flow gives -$1.28 per share. The share price was $4.37 on November 10, 2026, 441% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$2.00 | -146% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | -$1.28 | -129% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $0.06 | -99% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$0.73 | -$0.56 | -$0.36 | -$0.10 | $0.24 |
| 8.0% | -$1.15 | -$1.04 | -$0.90 | -$0.75 | -$0.56 |
| 9.0% | -$1.44 | -$1.37 | -$1.28 | -$1.18 | -$1.06 |
| 10.0% | -$1.67 | -$1.62 | -$1.56 | -$1.49 | -$1.41 |
| 11.0% | -$1.85 | -$1.81 | -$1.77 | -$1.72 | -$1.66 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (35.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions