What is Diodes Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Diodes Inc's reported free cash flow gives $60.14 per share. The share price was $95.84 on September 25, 2026, 59% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.0% | 10.0% | $40.56 | -58% |
| Base | 4.0% | 9.0% | $60.14 | -37% |
| Bull | 9.0% | 8.0% | $96.68 | +1% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $74.05 | $78.27 | $83.43 | $89.88 | $98.18 |
| 8.0% | $63.69 | $66.42 | $69.66 | $73.54 | $78.29 |
| 9.0% | $56.10 | $57.97 | $60.14 | $62.66 | $65.63 |
| 10.0% | $50.32 | $51.65 | $53.16 | $54.88 | $56.87 |
| 11.0% | $45.76 | $46.74 | $47.83 | $49.06 | $50.45 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Diodes Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions