What is Dine Brands Global, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Dine Brands Global, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$27.08 per share. The share price was $28.17 on September 25, 2026, 204% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -5.5% | 10.0% | -$45.48 | -261% |
| Base | -0.5% | 9.0% | -$27.08 | -196% |
| Bull | 4.5% | 8.0% | $8.75 | -69% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$14.41 | -$10.62 | -$5.99 | -$0.21 | $7.22 |
| 8.0% | -$23.80 | -$21.34 | -$18.44 | -$14.96 | -$10.71 |
| 9.0% | -$30.69 | -$29.01 | -$27.08 | -$24.82 | -$22.15 |
| 10.0% | -$35.97 | -$34.77 | -$33.42 | -$31.88 | -$30.09 |
| 11.0% | -$40.14 | -$39.26 | -$38.28 | -$37.18 | -$35.94 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Dine Brands Global, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-0.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions