What is Community Health Systems Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Community Health Systems Inc's reported free cash flow gives -$47.44 per share. The share price was $2.94 on September 25, 2026, 106% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.0% | 10.0% | -$55.88 | -2,001% |
| Base | 1.0% | 9.0% | -$47.44 | -1,713% |
| Bull | 6.0% | 8.0% | -$31.68 | -1,177% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$41.56 | -$39.79 | -$37.63 | -$34.93 | -$31.45 |
| 8.0% | -$45.92 | -$44.78 | -$43.42 | -$41.79 | -$39.81 |
| 9.0% | -$49.12 | -$48.34 | -$47.44 | -$46.38 | -$45.13 |
| 10.0% | -$51.57 | -$51.01 | -$50.38 | -$49.66 | -$48.83 |
| 11.0% | -$53.50 | -$53.09 | -$52.64 | -$52.12 | -$51.54 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Community Health Systems Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (1.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions