What is Crane NXT, Co. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Crane NXT, Co.'s reported free cash flow gives $17.06 per share. The share price was $47.72 on September 25, 2026, 180% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | $4.35 | -91% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | $17.06 | -64% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | $40.76 | -15% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $25.52 | $28.01 | $31.05 | $34.85 | $39.73 |
| 8.0% | $19.28 | $20.89 | $22.80 | $25.09 | $27.88 |
| 9.0% | $14.68 | $15.78 | $17.06 | $18.54 | $20.30 |
| 10.0% | $11.15 | $11.94 | $12.83 | $13.84 | $15.01 |
| 11.0% | $8.35 | $8.93 | $9.57 | $10.29 | $11.11 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Crane NXT, Co.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-10.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions