What is Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s reported free cash flow gives $66.82 per share. The share price was $26.22 on November 10, 2026, 61% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.5% | 10.0% | $44.46 | +70% |
| Base | 12.5% | 9.0% | $66.82 | +155% |
| Bull | 17.5% | 8.0% | $111.39 | +325% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $83.93 | $89.24 | $95.72 | $103.82 | $114.23 |
| 8.0% | $71.11 | $74.54 | $78.61 | $83.48 | $89.44 |
| 9.0% | $61.76 | $64.11 | $66.82 | $69.99 | $73.73 |
| 10.0% | $54.66 | $56.34 | $58.23 | $60.40 | $62.89 |
| 11.0% | $49.10 | $50.33 | $51.70 | $53.24 | $54.99 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions