What is Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $10.60 per share. The share price was $3.11 on November 10, 2026, 71% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -7.0% | 10.0% | $6.06 | +95% |
| Base | -2.0% | 9.0% | $10.60 | +241% |
| Bull | 3.0% | 8.0% | $19.07 | +513% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $13.70 | $14.62 | $15.74 | $17.15 | $18.96 |
| 8.0% | $11.41 | $12.00 | $12.71 | $13.55 | $14.59 |
| 9.0% | $9.72 | $10.13 | $10.60 | $11.15 | $11.80 |
| 10.0% | $8.43 | $8.72 | $9.05 | $9.43 | $9.86 |
| 11.0% | $7.41 | $7.63 | $7.86 | $8.13 | $8.44 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-2.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions