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Stocks CSW DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Csw Industrials, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Csw Industrials, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $213.40 per share. The share price was $296.80 on September 25, 2026, 39% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$132.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$118.6M
Cash
$47.5M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$855.5M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
16,712,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
20.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$110.69-63%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$213.40-28%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$404.65+36%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$291.16$315.41$345.04$382.09$429.71
8.0%$232.74$248.47$267.05$289.35$316.61
9.0%$190.24$200.99$213.40$227.87$244.97
10.0%$158.02$165.66$174.33$184.23$195.65
11.0%$132.80$138.40$144.67$151.71$159.70

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Csw Industrials, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (20.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Csw Industrials, Inc. company page