What is Constellium SE worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Constellium SE's reported free cash flow gives $2.14 per share. The share price was $24.89 on September 25, 2026, 1,064% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -5.5% | 10.0% | -$3.38 | -114% |
| Base | -0.5% | 9.0% | $2.14 | -91% |
| Bull | 4.5% | 8.0% | $12.89 | -48% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $5.94 | $7.07 | $8.46 | $10.20 | $12.43 |
| 8.0% | $3.12 | $3.86 | $4.73 | $5.77 | $7.05 |
| 9.0% | $1.05 | $1.56 | $2.14 | $2.82 | $3.62 |
| 10.0% | -$0.53 | -$0.17 | $0.24 | $0.70 | $1.23 |
| 11.0% | -$1.78 | -$1.52 | -$1.22 | -$0.89 | -$0.52 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Constellium SE's revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (-0.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions