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DCF valuation

What is Centerspace worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Centerspace's reported free cash flow gives $47.85 per share. The share price was $56.93 on November 10, 2026, 19% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$64.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$74M
Cash
$116.2M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$812.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
16,775,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
9.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear4.0%3.0%2.0%10.0%$13.24-77%
Base9.0%6.0%2.5%9.0%$47.85-16%
Bull14.0%8.5%3.0%8.0%$112.43+97%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$73.22$81.03$90.57$102.49$117.82
8.0%$54.25$59.31$65.29$72.47$81.24
9.0%$40.40$43.86$47.85$52.51$58.02
10.0%$29.87$32.33$35.12$38.31$41.98
11.0%$21.60$23.41$25.42$27.69$30.26

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Centerspace's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Centerspace company page