What is Carlisle Companies Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Carlisle Companies Inc's reported free cash flow gives $362.57 per share. The share price was $326.37 on September 25, 2026, 10% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $204.14 | -37% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $362.57 | +11% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $658.38 | +102% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $475.93 | $510.43 | $552.60 | $605.32 | $673.09 |
| 8.0% | $391.42 | $413.79 | $440.24 | $471.97 | $510.75 |
| 9.0% | $329.62 | $344.92 | $362.57 | $383.16 | $407.50 |
| 10.0% | $282.51 | $293.39 | $305.72 | $319.81 | $336.07 |
| 11.0% | $245.44 | $253.42 | $262.33 | $272.36 | $283.72 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Carlisle Companies Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions