What is CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $189.79 per share. The share price was $252.13 on September 25, 2026, 33% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $122.00 | -52% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $189.79 | -25% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $316.02 | +25% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $241.12 | $257.12 | $276.68 | $301.13 | $332.57 |
| 8.0% | $202.56 | $212.94 | $225.20 | $239.92 | $257.91 |
| 9.0% | $174.51 | $181.60 | $189.79 | $199.34 | $210.63 |
| 10.0% | $153.24 | $158.28 | $164.00 | $170.54 | $178.08 |
| 11.0% | $136.59 | $140.29 | $144.43 | $149.08 | $154.35 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (40.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions