What is Carters Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Carters Inc's reported free cash flow gives $21.72 per share. The share price was $34.29 on November 10, 2026, 58% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -6.0% | 10.0% | $12.38 | -64% |
| Base | -1.0% | 9.0% | $21.72 | -37% |
| Bull | 4.0% | 8.0% | $39.16 | +14% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $28.13 | $30.05 | $32.39 | $35.32 | $39.08 |
| 8.0% | $23.38 | $24.62 | $26.09 | $27.85 | $30.01 |
| 9.0% | $19.89 | $20.74 | $21.72 | $22.86 | $24.21 |
| 10.0% | $17.22 | $17.82 | $18.51 | $19.29 | $20.19 |
| 11.0% | $15.10 | $15.55 | $16.04 | $16.60 | $17.23 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Carters Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions